Ignacio Mas and Nicholas Sullivan
Mobile Money as an Information
Utility That Touches Everyone
Refining the Vision for Financial Inclusion
You’ve grasped the potential: mobile money can bank the unbanked in the devel-
oping world. You’ve seen the reality: most mobile money schemes are still like large
pilots, and the majority of people are still unbanked. 迄今为止, mobile money has
not been as transformative as mobile phones.
Perhaps it’s too much to expect two epochal waves of change in one decade and
we need to give mobile money more time. Or perhaps the idea of financial inclu-
sion is itself a threadbare hope: there may be neither sufficient demand for formal
banking among poor people who have evolved “good enough” ways to manage
what little they have, nor sufficient revenue among commercial providers to sus-
tain what would be a large number of new formal accounts. Or perhaps we are
simply missing the socioeconomic changes that mobile money already brings to
the poor because we are too wedded to traditional notions of financial inclusion.
Whatever the results to date, we maintain that the potential for mobile money
to change the financial lives of 70 percent of the world population—that is, 这
unbanked—is huge. 然而, in our view, we also need to reset expectations based
on two considerations:
Ignacio Mas is a consultant in the field of mobile money and financial inclusion. 他
was formerly deputy director of Financial Services for the Poor at the Bill & Melinda
Gates Foundation. He has written widely for publications such as Innovations,
Challenge, The International Economy, World Economy, World Development,
and The Journal of Payments Strategy and Systems, and is coauthor of “Branchless
and Mobile Banking Solutions for the Poor: A Survey of the Literature,” which appears
in this issue.
Nicholas Sullivan is a Senior Fellow at the Center for Emerging Market Enterprises at
The Fletcher School, Tufts University, and Codirector of the Fletcher Leadership
Program in Financial Inclusion. He is author of You Can Hear Me Now: 如何
Microloans and Cell Phones Are Connecting the World’s Poor to the Global
Economy (乔西·巴斯, 2007) and co-author (with Tonny Omwansa) of Money, Real
Quick: Kenya’s Mobile-Money Innovation (Guardian Books, 2012).
© 2012 Ignacio Mas and Nicholas Sullivan
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• First, before mobile money can effectively alter the banking paradigm, it needs
to scale and fast. Microfinance might work on a small scale in an isolated
geographic pocket, but mobile money needs to become a universal information
utility that is of value to the majority. Mobile money exploits network effects
that are initially hard to harness, but which become a powerful force for
change once a critical mass is reached. It is unwise to judge the usefulness of
mobile money until it has developed the scale that it requires to propagate
本身.
• Second, mobile money is bringing convenience and immediacy to people’s
handling of money—in essence, it’s putting money on the grid. The economic
and social implications are hard to fathom because money is used in so many
different contexts, for so many different purposes, and in so many different
方法. We—the “royal we” of the global development community—risk bring-
ing old baggage to bear when we evaluate mobile money exclusively through
the prism of financial inclusion. “Banking the unbanked” just might not look
as we first expected it to look—that is, mobile money versions of bank-like
产品.
总共, we should not jump to premature conclusions about mobile money.
We need to wait and watch and evolve our thinking as this extraordinary experi-
ment unfolds before us. In time, mobile money may, as has mobile communica-
tion itself, write its own story.
THE IDEA OF A DIGITAL UTILITY
Mobile money, mobile banking, and banking beyond branches (a.k.a. branchless
银行业)—whatever the permutation—entails giving people direct access to elec-
tronic transactional channels, based on cards or mobile phones, that are linked to
appropriately regulated store-of-value accounts, which are in turn supplemented
by a relatively dense network of retail stores that act as cash-in/cash-out and reg-
istration points. Banking beyond branches refers to new service channels and pri-
marily addresses distance to and the cost of service delivery. A range of financial
services can then ride on top of this delivery platform.
The predominant model to date is driven by mobile operators, who are com-
bining their 24/7 access to customers with cash-in/cash-out points to deliver an
exponential value-add over banks, especially those that have ignored low-income
顾客. A secondary model is driven by banks that are using mobile outreach
to facilitate access to systems for existing and some new customers. In both cases,
the mobile operator and the bank are seeking to cement their existing relationships
with customers.
An estimated 70 percent of the population in developing countries is closed off
from the formal financial system, and as a result they are relegated to a cash or
barter economy. Imagine the opportunities that would open up for poor people
everywhere if their cash were “dematerialized” and treated purely as information.
It’s not hard to do: just think about how you manage your own bank accounts.
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Mobile Money as an Information Utility That Touches Everyone
Your monetary holdings are but a line of code on a server that is securely managed
by a regulated institution. Paying someone is as simple as manipulating digital
information to credit one set of accounts and debit another, with no physical
exchange ever taking place.
Digital money—which is mere digits on a bank’s server—is easier to conceal,
运输, and deliver than physical cash, and hence is safer and cheaper to use in
many settings. Digital money leaves information in its wake, which can be used
automatically to build up financial histories for individuals or accounting records
for businesses. It is feasible to pay interest on digital money, or to index its value to
a range of benchmarks, thereby reducing the risk of inflation.
Were the branchless banking infrastructure to become sufficiently pervasive, 它
could be thought of as a utility that links citizens and enterprises to each other and
to a range of formal financial and nonfinancial service providers. The payment
infrastructure would equate to an information utility that would ride on top of
existing communications networks, and mobile networks in particular. 它会
readily and securely convey information to users on their own holdings of elec-
tronic money and permit the transfer of value between the people and entities
connected to it.
THE BENEFITS OF A PERVASIVE MOBILE MONEY CHANNEL
Think of the multifaceted benefits of connecting many (but not all) to water, elec-
tricity, and communications networks. You can guzzle, slosh, and drip water for
any number of reasons, plug in any kind of electrical device, and convey any mes-
sage you like. Utilities are pervasive and have multiple uses—hence the name.
然而, they are not designed for specific purposes but as a channel through
which to address multiple needs. So it is with branchless banking—which is, 在
essence, a money and payment utility. You can store value or pass it on in the con-
text of most of the activities that human beings engage in: to signal status, earn a
livelihood, procure services, cater to your family’s needs, provide for the future, ETC.
It is therefore unduly limiting to judge the success of branchless banking in
terms of a narrow, preconceived set of applications, such as access to standard sav-
ings and checking accounts. Success will be fully achieved when everyone uses their
money and payment utility for a variety of overlapping reasons. The overall impact
of this utility on people’s lives should be measurable, but not attributable to only
a few distinct uses, such as remittances or online payments.
To illustrate the broad potential impact of branchless banking as a utility, 我们
posit four main categories of benefits that differ in terms of whom or what people
connect to: each other, regulated banks, government services, and business and
commercial entities.
Peer support networks. The early use of M-PESA in Kenya revolved around
friends and family remitting money to each other, as reflected in its marketing slo-
两个都, “Send money home” (originally “Send money by phone”). By enabling direct
person-to-person payments, M-PESA improved the geographic reach and efficien-
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Ignacio Mas and Nicholas Sullivan
cy of informal peer networks. It is used as a financial tool for people to help each
其他, and as such is of immense social and economic value. Researchers Billy Jack
of Georgetown University and Tavneet Suri of MIT are currently studying how M-
PESA allows families to resist idiosyncratic adverse shocks—in effect using mobile
money as an informal insurance mechanism. This category also includes informal,
community-based rotating savings groups that use mobile money as a channel to
capture contributions.
Access to formal financial services. While visions of branchless banking differ,
savings accounts are often seen as the anchor product through which people may
be able to access other services, such as loans and insurance. From the viewpoint
of financial inclusion, branchless banking is fundamentally an access method that
connects people electronically to larger financial service providers. The value to be
derived from the banking utility is seen as hinging more on the financial products
that are delivered over the network than on the underlying payments channel.
Whatever the product, one clear value of an electronic payments system is the
transaction trail it leaves, which helps the unbanked develop a credit history.
Government efficiency and less corruption. Much recent interest in branchless
banking has been stimulated by its potential for helping governments deliver
micropayments. Doing so in cash is expensive, whereas doing so electronically is
cheap and fast—and quite possibly more productive. Government is typically the
largest micropayer in a country, and many of these payments go to people living in
remote areas, such as teachers in rural schools or pensioners who return to their
home village upon retirement. The volume of social welfare payments has also
increased substantially in recent years; 例如, those made to demobilized sol-
diers in the Congo, conditional cash transfers to poor families under the Bolsa
Familia Program in Brazil, or subsistence wages paid under the National Rural
Employment Guarantee Scheme in India. Branchless banking can therefore
enhance the reach and efficiency of government social safety nets and reduce the
corruption associated with the administration of these programs. 在很多情况下,
these government-to-person payments are delivered through banking institutions,
which provides another linkage point for the previously unbanked.
Business efficiency and entrepreneurship. A final potential application for a
mobile money utility is to grease the wheels of commerce. If every potential cus-
tomer, supplier, and partner of any given enterprise were connected to the same
electronic payment network, interactions between them could be significantly
更高效. The costs associated with paying and collecting for goods and serv-
ices would be lower; businesses would have readily available, real-time information
on payments made and amounts owed; and credit and business risks could be
streamlined across supply chains. We have seen bill payments and, to a lesser
extent, salary disbursements become big drivers of customer adoption and trans-
action volume in mobile money schemes, such as M-PESA in Kenya and EasyPaisa
in Pakistan. Businesses that have essentially run separate businesses to collect pay-
评论 (such as electric utilities) or disburse monies (such as sugar cane processors)
can now integrate these payments into their core business. Distributors that run
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Mobile Money as an Information Utility That Touches Everyone
trucks through remote rural areas to collect cash can now distribute goods only
when needed and accept payments electronically. Entrepreneurs and small busi-
nesses can operate cash-free businesses and no longer need to worry about trust-
ing employees with cash or greasing cranky supply chains with payoffs.
Development agencies and donors have identified financial inclusion as the
high bar of the benefits of branchless banking. Financial inclusion is a fuzzy term,
but it typically refers to connecting people to “formal” (那是, licensed, regulated,
and appropriately governed) 金融机构. 所以, advocates of finan-
cial inclusion tend to put as much or more emphasis on the design of financial
products as on the design of the payment capability underpinning them.
But branchless banking represents both less and more than financial inclusion.
It is less because banks need to develop innovative financial products for low-
income people if they want to become relevant to their customers. At the same
时间, branchless banking represents more than mere financial inclusion because
the payment needs of all actors in the economy are much broader than their deal-
ings with banks. Individuals, 企业, and governments all benefit when money
goes digital, and will do so even more when the payment channel becomes a util-
ity that is universal and nondiscriminatory. We need to stop thinking about banks
and thinking about functionality in the way people use and manage their money
REALITY CHECK: ARE WE CLOSE TO A UTILITY?
Few people—regulators as much as practitioners—today question the need to take
financial transactions out of the brick-and-mortar infrastructure of banks to make
the economic system work for both providers and clients. The basic notion of
doing this has gained wide currency, and dozens of banks and mobile operators
have been moved to test products. Dozens of papers have been written on the
话题, and The Economist reports fairly regularly on mobile money in Africa. 甚至
the G20 is championing the issue. 问题是, has the business case been made
in a way that will entice multiple actors to invest in and commit to branchless
银行业?
Four years into the spectacular success of M-PESA in Kenya, no other mobile
money system even comes close to showing that level of customer adoption and
用法. True, there are some encouraging signs: Vodacom’s M-PESA in Tanzania
and MTN MobileMoney in Uganda have more than one million active accounts.
Telenor’s EasyPaisa in Pakistan and the SmartMoney and G-Cash operations in the
Philippines are also significant, with more than eight million customers between
他们, although they are seeing only a limited take-up of wallet (IE。, 帐户-
基于) 服务.
Banks have been very slow to build their own branchless banking operations
to compete with mobile money operators, except in Latin America. In Brazil, 秘鲁,
哥伦比亚, 智利, 玻利维亚, 和, 最近, 墨西哥, banks have expanded their
channels significantly by using point-of-sale terminals at local shops and retail
chains.
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There is little evidence in branchless banking led by either telecoms or banks
that people are using their accounts for much more than peer-to-peer transfers or
utility bill payments, and not much money stays put in the customer accounts.
Banks and mobile operators haven’t yet developed a collaborative model that will
make both entities comfortable maintaining their value-add and desired customer
relationships without overburdening customers with fees. 因此, products designed
for the poor and unbanked are few and far between, and none have been scaled.
Even M-PESA, despite its spectacular level of take-up, remains very limited in
how people use it. Most M-PESA transactions start and end in cash; it has in
essence supplemented rather than displaced cash, and most customers use it only
a couple of times a month. M-PESA does not offer easy programming interfaces
for linking into enterprise systems, and the information value of its customer
transactions is used rarely, if at all, for business or credit-scoring purposes.
Disappointment in the scale and impact of mobile money is real. Part of the
problem has been caused by the expectation that mobile money would automati-
cally and effectively bank the unbanked. But unlike microfinance, which was also
over-hyped as a way to end poverty, mobile money must scale quickly if it is to
actually take hold, let alone deliver results.
因此, in looking forward, the focus should be first on the business implemen-
tation to scale and profit, rather than on the notion of financial inclusion. 这
question is, what is preventing telecoms and banks from doing just that? If their
respective DNA is an impediment, perhaps third parties should be encouraged to
implement mobile money and to use the mobile platform and new banking regu-
lations as leverage to compete with incumbents.
The focus of branchless banking should turn to impact only after the business
case and business model are fixed. And when it does turn to impact, 定义
of financial inclusion should be scrapped or expanded in recognition of the mul-
tiple ways mobile money can impact society at large, and the poor in particular.
BUSINESS DRIVERS TO SCALE FAST AND FAR
In most countries, mobile operators and banks do not have a sufficiently dominant
market position to singlehandedly harness the network effects that are required to
offer their customers a really useful money-transfer service, and to build dense
retail cash-in/cash-out networks. They will therefore need to experiment with dif-
ferent paths from that charted by Safaricom in Kenya. While M-PESA has
remained largely a “closed-loop” payment system, others with less scale will need
to interconnect their platforms nationally. 而且, whereas M-PESA has focused
on domestic remittances, others may need to chase after different transaction
pools to drive take-up and volume.
Below we present some economic business drivers that aspiring providers will
need to consider.
Adopt a complete ecosystem perspective. Given the range of potential uses of
electronic money described above, providers need to take much more of an ecosys-
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Mobile Money as an Information Utility That Touches Everyone
tem view in the development of mobile money and branchless banking schemes.
Most telecoms typically see mobile money as an opportunity to cross-sell one
more service to their existing customers, and in the process create some stickiness
for prepaid mobile services, which carry no contracts. Most banks, 然而, 看
branchless banking as an opportunity to reduce the cost of servicing their existing
顾客.
The complexity of these schemes requires that both actors approach the idea
more holistically. The idea is not only about converting or acquiring customers but
about delivering sufficient value to stores that are acting as cash merchants.
而且, it’s important to give businesses a way to pay their employees and casu-
al laborers electronically, to collect bill payments electronically, to take cash out of
supply chains so they can run more efficiently, and in the process drive stores to
prefer to accept electronic payments over cash. Without a broader perspective that
includes ecosystem development, most providers will not have the wherewithal to
drive mobile money or branchless banking forward at sufficient scale and speed.
Invest to develop a distributed cash-in/cash-out network. Mobile money and
branchless banking are about shifting transactions onto an electronic payment
平台. The critical first step is to convert physical cash into electronic value. 这
inverse operation, letting people convert their financial holdings back into cash, 是
also essential if people are to gain confidence in the system. 然而, the paucity
of bank branch and ATM infrastructure in many developing countries—especial-
ly where poor people live and work—makes it very difficult for most of the popu-
lation to hope for formal banking services.
Building the necessary cash merchant network—the stores where people can
cash in and cash out from their digital accounts—is hard work, for two main rea-
儿子们. 第一的, each store needs sufficient volume in order to maintain the necessary
stock of electronic money and physical cash—that is, inventory. Creating that vol-
ume of business at every locality represents a very large number of transactions,
which few providers can achieve. 第二, the viability of the cash-in/cash-out
channel depends on having many customers, which can create a chicken-and-egg
问题. Customers won’t be attracted to the service if they don’t see a vibrant,
reliable network of cash-in/cash-out stores that can meet their needs. The longer
providers take to break this cycle—that is, the slower they are in getting both cus-
tomers and stores on board—the more difficult it will be to market the service, 作为
people will become annoyed with the marketing message and there will be little
word-of-mouth promotion. 此外, the business case will become more
complicated due to accumulated losses. Breaking this cycle requires careful, effec-
tive action and sufficient resources to reach the two sides of the market: end-users
and cash merchants.
Interoperability is win-win. Most mobile money schemes seek to establish
themselves on a stand-alone basis and see interconnecting with other similar
schemes as a longer-term issue. There are two main reasons for this: 第一的, early
movers do not see much benefit in sharing their hard work with laggards, and sec-
另一, scheme promoters who have their hands full rolling out a new system do not
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relish the added complexity of negotiating with their competitors from the outset.
然而, a lack of interconnection can easily make it that much harder for
schemes to achieve the necessary speed to scale This can result in fragmented
transaction pools that need to be spread across more stores that serve different
scheme providers, rather than consolidating transactions to achieve a more readi-
ly viable cash merchant network that meets the needs of all interconnected
计划.
Consider the case of an African country that has 50 percent mobile phone pen-
etration and the largest player has a 40 percent market share. Assuming optimisti-
cally that this dominant mobile operator converts 50 percent of its customer base
to mobile money, this represents a payment ecosystem touching just 10 的百分比
人口 (50% X 40% X 50%). That is simply not enough to create a com-
pelling proposition to users, and most likely not enough transactions volume to
create a viable business case for a sufficiently large number of cash merchants.
Even this dominant operator might be better off interconnecting with the mobile
money and branchless banking schemes of other telecoms and banks. Yet this is
not happening anywhere, as both telecoms and banks want to go it alone, 尽管
the obvious fact that their efforts are going to be subscale.
Price cash out of the system. Most electronic payment schemes are dependent
on cash rather than disdainful of it. Operators have in fact sought to reposition
cash as an extension of the local mobile money system through a dense network of
cash merchants. 因此, local economies are based on cash (as usual), but long-
haul transfers are electronic. The outcome is that most people tend to use mobile
money systems sparingly, since their need for remote payments—to send money
home, pay a bill, buy goods online, etc.—is relatively infrequent, perhaps only
monthly. Most economies are local, as that is where most cash is moved, 哪个
means that mobile money has a minimal impact.
One big problem is pricing, which makes small-value transactions expensive
via mobile. Lower pricing might induce people to substitute mobile payments for
cash in their daily lives, and thus trigger a much higher volume of mobile money
交易, with all their known benefits. 迄今为止, most schemes have gone for the
high-price model. M-PESA in Kenya has in fact gone as far as pricing purely elec-
tronic money transfers more expensively than cash-in/cash-out transactions—
which in effect makes cash cheaper.
REFINING THE VISION FOR FINANCIAL INCLUSION
When envisioning a large-scale information utility for making electronic pay-
评论, cash is the enemy. People love cash because they are conditioned to use it.
They used to love cowrie shells and dogs’ teeth too, but their preferences evolved
as new forms of payment came along. They can do so again. Cash must be excised
from the system as much as possible for all the reasons mentioned above if it is to
fully scale and transform society. It would certainly lower costs for banks and tele-
coms and move more money into their systems.
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Mobile Money as an Information Utility That Touches Everyone
Most importantly, dematerializing cash would begin to develop mobile money
as a pervasive, 大规模, digital-information utility that is of value to all players,
including the very poor. That would give entrepreneurs a viable platform on which
to develop rich products to serve different segments of the population, and might
begin to make financial inclusion a reality. That version of financial inclusion is
not likely to look like the one we now envision—some sort of expansive banking
system that pushes the same products you and I enjoy. It is likely to assume a whole
new set of characteristics based on usage needs and local customs, which is precise-
ly what happened with the spread of mobile phones.
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