Can China Back Down? Can China Back Down? Crisis De-escalation in the Shadow of Popular Opposition Kai Quek and Alastair Iain Johnston Many pundits and an- alysts, both inside and outside China, claim that public…
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The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia
The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia How China’s Neighbors Can Check Chinese Naval Expansion Michael Beckley For 70 années, the U.S. military has dominated the seas and…
The Extremist’s Advantage in Civil Wars
The Extremist’s Advantage in Civil Wars The Extremist’s Advantage in Civil Wars Barbara F. Walter One of the puzzles of the current wave of civil wars is that rebel groups espousing extremist ideologies—especially Salaª jihadism—have…
In Plain Sight
In Plain Sight In Plain Sight Valerie M. Hudson The Neglected Linkage between Brideprice and Violent Conºict and Hilary Matfess Strapped to a gurney and visibly shaken by the bloodied bodies of his fellow terrorists…
Iran-Iraq War and the Nuclear Deal
Iran-Iraq War and the Nuclear Deal What the Iran-Iraq War Tells Us about the Future of the Iran Nuclear Deal Ariane M. Tabatabai and Annie Tracy Samuel It is a truism that the 1979 Islamic…
Rule of Law in Afghanistan
Rule of Law in Afghanistan Why U.S. Efforts to Promote the Rule of Law in Afghanistan Failed Geoffrey Swenson Upon assuming ofªce in January 2009, President Barack Obama demanded a dramatic shift in U.S. politique…
Revisiting Hiroshima in Iran
Revisiting Hiroshima in Iran Revisiting Hiroshima in Iran What Americans Really Think about Using Nuclear Weapons and Killing Noncombatants Scott D. Sagan and Benjamin A. Valentino In August 1945, 85 par- cent of the U.S….
The New Era of Counterforce
The New Era of Counterforce The New Era of Counterforce Technological Change and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press Nuclear deterrence is based on the threat of retaliation. UN…
Deterrence and Dissuasion in Cyberspace
Deterrence and Dissuasion in Cyberspace Deterrence and Dissuasion in Cyberspace Joseph S. Nye Jr. Can countries deter or dissuade others from doing them harm in cyberspace? In the words of former Estonian President Toomas Ilves,…
The Debate over Drone Proliferation
The Debate over Drone Proliferation Separating Fact from Fiction in the Debate over Drone Proliferation Michael C. Horowitz, Sarah E. Kreps, and Matthew Fuhrmann In the last decade and a half, the use of unmanned…